M Ashraf Shaheen, Abdul Hameed, Muhammad Irfan, Kiran Niraula, M Tariq.
Prognostic Indicators in patients with Severe Head Injury: a 2 Year Retrospective Experience at Mayo Hospital, Lahore.
Pak J Neuro Surg Jan ;17(2):171-81.

Introduction: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is an important public health care problem in the western world and equally being pandemic in the developing world. It is one of the most common causes of death in young adults and it can affect people’s lives enormously. Since many years the prognostic indicators of severe head injury had been field of research. Knowing the factors responsible for poor prognosis and preventing them outcome of severe head injury can be improved.Material and Methods: A retrospective study was conducted analyzing past records of the patients in department of Neurosurgery, Mayo Hospital from Nov 2011 to Nov 2013 with diagnosis of severe head injury (Glasgow Come Scale < 9). All patients except the patients with brain death, associated poly trauma, spinal injuries were excluded from the study. Total sample of 236 either managed conservatively or surgical and observed in Intensive care unit were study population. Prognosis was assessed with Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS) on or before (if patient expired before 30 days) 30 post admission day. Age, GCS, CT findings, Pupils were compared with GOS to find probable predictors of prognosis. GOS of less than 4 was regarded as poor prognosis. Categorical variables like GCS, pupils, CT findings were presented in the form of frequency (percentage) whereas continuous variables like age were presented in the form of mean ± SD and median (range). Association between GOS and probable prognostic indictors was seen by chi square test.Results: Out of 236 patients, 188 were male and 48 were female. Mean ± SD age of patient was 32.8 ± 14.6 years. Age group 15 – 45 years had maximum number of patients. Road traffic accident was major cause of severe head injury and majority had GCS 3 after resuscitation. More than half of the patient had bilaterally reactive pupils, 10% patient had post traumatic fits and half of the patients had features of base of skull fracture. 208 (8%) patient had abnormal CT findings. 30% patient on CT scan had closed cisterns and half of the patients has midline shift of 1.5 – 3 mm. More than 35% cases had surgical lesions over CT scan. Patients with age group < 15 years, GCS < 4, with closed cisterns, with surgical lesions and with midline shift of more than 3 mm had 30 day GOS < 4, which is regarded as poor prognostic marker.Conclusion: Prognosis in patient with severe head injury is determined by age, presenting post resuscitation GCS, mode of injury, CT findings and surgical lesions.

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